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Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Tuesday Rebound

Coming off a crappy night I am looking for a little rebound mojo!!! Going to stay away from the bad teams qas they cost me dearly last night and look some good angles.


7:00 Starts--

Fla / Atl Over 10

The pitchers in this game both have GOD awful numbers and the teams can hit.

Over is 39-18-5 in FLA last 62 on grass.
Over is 40-19-6 in FLA last 65 overall.
I like Atlanta to win again but with the road record they have it's best to stick with the total here.

OVER 10

Tor +104

Coming back with the jays tonight after losing with them last night. Olsen has an ERA over 10 and he should help out the hitless Jays tonight and put a few on the board. The Jays pitching of late has been very well they just need some hits to add to it and that is what Olsen will help them do. Marcum has given up 2 earned or less in his last 4 of 5 starts. The Jays road record has me a bit on edge but I will take them here. Olsen has given up 17 earned in his last three overall and 12 earned in his last two starts against the Jays.

Play On
All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (TORONTO)
with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games

115-85 over the last 5 seasons.
57.5% (48.7 units)

Oakland / Tampa Bay Over 8.5 -120

I kow, the A's have hit the under at a regular pace during the losing streak but I look for the Rays to put up a ton of runs tonight so the A's will only have to put up a few. Sonnanstine has an ERA over 4 at home and gave up seven in his last start against the A's. Braden goes for Oakland and last year on the road he was a beanbag giving up 20 runs in his last four road games and five earned in his start against the Rays. Both bullpens do not have solid numbers so this should sail over this total but waiting to game time to wrestle the better juice out of my book.

I like San Diego and the over in that game, but will just stick with these for now.

GLTA!

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