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Monday, July 07, 2008

Monday Night Baseball

Monday Sneaks Sheet--let's get right to it!


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Mets/Phils--This may be too good to be true but I have to
play it simple and go with the total. OVER 10.5--Pedro has been
a mess from tipping pitches to just looking bad with a lofty ERA over 10 in his
last three. The wind will help as it is blowing out of the park and Eaton's
numbers will help. His ERA and WHIP are both high in his last three and when he
pitches at home. I know he has good numbers against the Mets but let's face it
he is in trouble night. The Mets need this win to have a great series against
the first place club and they get it tonight. Mets +124


Play On
Any team (NY METS)
with a starting
pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a
starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the
season-NL

29-16 over the last 5
seasons.
64.4% (18.4 units)


Hou/Pitt--Looking like bad weather here and since I have
alot invested in one bad weather game I'll pass on this one.


Minn/Bos--This line is high as the Sox head back to Fenway,
but how can you pass up on the dog here tonight? Dice K is not the same off the
injury posting one decents start and two shaky ones. In the last three Baker has
better numbers and you get a hot team that has won five straight and they are
hitting a robust .351 in the last ten against righties. Baker: MIN 31-29
as an underdog of +100 or higher and Matsuzaka: BOS 4-11 revenging a loss.


Twins +152--Play On
Road underdogs with a money line
of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA)
average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2
runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with a good bullpen
whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season

80-74 since
1997.
51.9% (46.8 units)


LAA/Tex--Passing here as its hard to fade the halo's on the
road and I like the under which seems impossible to take when the Rangers play a
game.


Col/Mil--I am going to pass here but if you have the guts I
would consider the Rockies. They have won 2 of 3 against the Brew crew and are
5-1 in the last 6. The starters edge goes to the Rockies and they have a good
chance to win here against McClung trying to stay in the rotation.


Comments and Suggestions are welcome! Good Luck to all!


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